Climate-related risk management

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Risks and opportunities

Risks and opportunities

The key climate-related risks and opportunities table describes the potential impact to Woodside’s business, strategy, and financial planning, including potential impacts on both financial position and performance and potential mitigations. This does not necessarily mean that the risks have materialised in practice or that the mitigations are currently being pursued. The table is presented using the TCFD framework.

Key climate-related risks and opportunities 

*Timeframe:1  S: now to 2025 (short)  M: 2026-2035 (medium)  L: 2036 and beyond (long)

The global transition to a lower carbon economy may entail extensive policy, legal, technology and market changes in order for the world to address mitigation and adaptation requirements relating to climate change.

Timeframe*Type of potential impactPotential financial impactsPotential mitigations
SML 
Policy and legal risks
   Exposure to litigation
  • Increased operating costs
  • Deferred revenue from project startups due to delays to, or failure to obtain, regulatory approvals
  • Asset valuation changes
  • Legal costs and fines
  • Increased decommissioning costs
  • Shareholder divestment
  • Access to capital
  • Adopt and deliver targets for net equity emissions reduction
  • Report in alignment with climate-related financial disclosure requirements in Australia and equivalent requirements in other jurisdictions we are active in and have a significant presence
  • Build a diverse carbon credits portfolio
  • Engage regulators and stakeholders
  • Monitor global policy and legal developments
  • Diversity of geographical footprint
  • Selldown in equity share
  • Transition case methodology
   Delays to, or failure to obtain, regulatory approvals
   Increased pricing or other regulatory control of emissions
   Mandates or controls on hydrocarbon product use or access to growth acreage
   Increased emissions reporting requirements
Technology
   Unsuccessful investment in new technologies
  • Loss of research and development expenditure
  • Increased operating costs
  • Deferred revenue from project startups due to delays to, or failure to obtain required technology
  • Technology collaboration and partnerships
  • Opportunity management process
  • Maintain internal capability with proven track record
  • Jurisdictional diversity for leveraging legislative incentives
   Higher than expected costs of transition to new technologies
   Overreliance on policy support to support commerciality
   Technology disruption
   Inability to develop at scale due to competition for resources, people or technology
Market
   Faster than expected substitution of hydrocarbon products
  • Lower demand for hydrocarbon, new energy or lower carbon services relative to investment case
  • Natural gas crowded out of carbon budget by coal and/or unable to achieve attractive pricing
  • Under or over investment in product portfolio components
  • Modified and unstable tax and fiscal settings
  • Stranded assets and associated impact on asset valuations
  • Implement strategy to be a low cost, lower carbon company
  • Scope 3 emissions plan
  • Capital allocation framework
  • Customer and market engagement
  • Scenario analysis
  • Portfolio and market diversity
  • Carbon border adjustment mechanisms or related policy
  • Selldown in equity share
   Slower than expected adoption of new energy and lower carbon services
   Slower than expected phase-out of coal
   Uncertainty/regional variation in transition pathways
   Demand destruction due to disorderly transition or being an unpreferred provider
Reputation
   Increased stakeholder concern
  • Increased operating costs
  • Increased debt capital costs
  • Exacerbated policy and legal risks
  • Impact on revenue
  • Inhibited growth
  • Shareholder divestment
  • Adopt and deliver targets for net equity Scope 1 and 2 emissions reduction
  • Scope 3 emissions plan
  • Report in alignment with climate-related financial disclosure requirements in Australia and equivalent requirements in other jurisdictions we are active in and have a significant presence
  • Engage regulators and stakeholders
  • Sustainability planning and engagement
  • Funding strategy and execution program
   Targets fail to meet stakeholder expectations
   Stigmatisation of hydrocarbon energy sector
   Constrained access to talent
   Constrained access to debt capital and insurance
   Inability to pursue range of climate-related pathways
   Targeted extreme activism

Physical risks from climate change may have financial implications for organisations such as direct damage to assets and indirect impacts from supply chain disruption.

Timeframe*Type of potential impactPotential financial impactsPotential mitigations
SML 
Acute
   Increased frequency, severity and/or duration of extreme weather events, such as tropical cyclones, hurricanes, rainfall, flooding, storm surge, lightning, squalls, bushfires and/or heat waves
  • Damage to assets or reduced asset life
  • Decreases in production
  • Increases in emergency response-related costs
  • Supply chain and logistics disruptions and/or cost increases
  • Decreased workforce productivity
  • Underperformance of tree planting
  • Design of facilities to withstand harsh operating environments
  • Equipment redundancy/sparing
  • Maintenance of safety critical equipment and control systems
  • Business and performance planning
  • HSE culture and procedures
  • Emergency response plans and procedures
  • Supplier relationship frameworks and diversification
  • Annual preventative bushfire maintenance and geographic diversity in carbon offset origination portfolio
  • Selldown in equity share
Chronic
   Longer-term shifts in climate patterns, such as warmer ambient temperatures, rising sea levels, coastal erosion, reduced water availability, and lower rainfall in tree planting areas
  • Damage to assets or reduced asset life
  • Decreased production
  • Decreased workforce productivity
  • Increased operating and capital cost required to maintain current performance
  • Underperformance of tree planting
  • Design of facilities to withstand harsh operating environments
  • Equipment redundancy/sparing
  • Maintenance of safety critical equipment and control systems
  • HSE culture and procedures
  • Geographic diversity in carbon offset origination portfolio
  • Desalination as technology option for access to water
  1. Woodside has selected these short-, medium- and long-term timeframes reflecting the nature of its business. The short-term period can impact its current producing assets and sanctioned projects; the medium-term timeframe could impact on these current assets and sanctioned projects as well as opportunities under active evaluation but not yet subject to a final investment decision; and the long-term timeframe could impact on both these categories of asset and project as well as opportunities beyond current consideration

Efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change also produce opportunities for organisations.

Timeframe*Type of potential impactPotential financial impactsPotential mitigations
SML 
Resource efficiency
   Fuel gas savings diverted to sales gas
  • Increased sales revenue
  • New revenue streams
  • Reduced operating costs
  • Asset decarbonisation plans
  • Optimisation reference plans
  • Scope 3 emissions plan influencing suppliers
   More efficient shipping fleet
   More efficient building stock
   Recycling of decommissioned materials
   Reduce methane losses
Energy source
   Use of renewable energy generation
  • Increased production
  • Reduced operating costs
  • Reduced exposure to carbon costs
  • Develop new energy products and lower-carbon services
  • Design out emissions
  • Asset decarbonisation plans
   Use of efficient technologies
   Use of energy storage
Products and services
   Diverse portfolio of products and services including natural gas in decarbonisation pathways
  • New revenue streams
  • Reduced demand side risk
  • Ability to achieve attractive pricing
  • Lower operating costs
  • Capital allocation framework
  • Technology collaboration and partnerships
  • Portfolio diversity
  • Customer and market engagement
   Development of new energy products and lower-carbon services
   New technologies for forecasting physical risk
Markets
   Use of public sector incentives
  • Reduced development costs
  • Engage regulators and stakeholders
  • Climate-related advocacy
  • Customer and market engagement
  • Partnerships to drive market development
  • Provisions in production agreements and MOUs
   Collaborative partnership with customers, research institutions and broader industry organisations
   Access to new markets
Resilience
   Broader portfolio inclusive of oil, gas and new energy opportunities
  • Diverse revenue streams
  • Better competitive position to reflect shifting consumer preferences
  • Capital allocation framework
  • Adopt and deliver targets for net equity emissions reduction
  • Scope 3 emissions plan
   Access to sustainable finance
   Decrease climate risk in the supply chain
   Capital allocations strategy to flex between product streams
  1. Woodside has selected these short-, medium- and long-term timeframes reflecting the nature of its business. The short-term period can impact its current producing assets and sanctioned projects; the medium-term timeframe could impact on these current assets and sanctioned projects as well as opportunities under active evaluation but not yet subject to a final investment decision; and the long-term timeframe could impact on both these categories of asset and project as well as opportunities beyond current consideration
Managing physical risks

Managing physical risks

Woodside’s assets are designed to withstand extreme weather events, we have specialised teams that support the safe and reliable design and operation of our facilities.

Physical risks can arise from both event driven (acute) and longer-term shifts (chronic) in climate patterns. These physical risks may have financial implications for organisations.

For example, in the oil and gas industry, this might include harsh weather or ocean conditions that can damage or disrupt the ability to safely operate offshore facilities, shipping and onshore processing plants. Woodside has decades of experience designing and operating facilities located in harsh environments.

Woodside’s facilities are subject to metocean conditions and are located in regions that experience tropical cyclones, hurricanes and high ambient temperatures.

Physical risks could also impact emerging new businesses in new energy products and lower-carbon services. For example, this could include bushfire or drought risk for nature-based carbon origination projects, or access to water for use in electrolysis for hydrogen.

Examples of physical risk management

 

Design of Woodside’s facilities

Design of Woodside’s facilities

Each Woodside facility is built in accordance with a basis of design (BOD). This details, amongst other things, the climatic conditions that facilities need to withstand. Each BOD is reviewed against updates to climatic conditions and, where required, actions are taken to update procedures or replace/ refurbish equipment to withstand the revised conditions.

For new facilities and refurbishments, the requirements for maximum air temperature and sea level in the BODs are aligned to IPCC Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2-4.5 (the SSP 2-4.5) in which global temperatures rise by 2.7°C by the end of the century. Design sensitivities are also performed against SSP 5-8.5 pathway in which global temperatures rise by 4.4°C. (Note that the BOD is intended to describe harsh environmental conditions that a facility may need to withstand over the course of the facility lifespan, hence the alignment with and sensitivities for higher temperature outcomes by 2100 rather than 2°C or 1.5°C global temperature rise outcomes).2

Woodside designs its assets to withstand extreme weather events that occur in the range of 1 in 1,000 years to 1 in 10,000 years. This is also specified in each BOD.3 These time periods and the approach of using IPCC SSPs has historically been used at heritage Woodside assets and will be incorporated across the merged portfolio for new assets.

Woodside Capability

Woodside Capability

Some relevant teams within the Woodside organisation include:
Meteorology and Oceanography (metocean) Metocean specialists quantify the potential impact and effect of meteorological and oceanographic conditions on Woodside’s facilities. This includes waves, climate variability, tropical cyclones, hurricanes, air temperature and rainfall. This analysis is used to define technical requirements for existing and new facilities.
Health, Safety and Environment Health, safety and environment specialists support the business by providing guidelines on safe operating conditions. Examples include the wellbeing of people working in high ambient temperature environments and maintenance of safety critical systems and equipment.
Asset Management Asset management teams are responsible for managing asset specific risks, such as structural integrity risks from weather related events and risks to production forecasts from weather related outages. Regular risk governance meetings are held to review the management of these risks.
Emergency ManagementEmergency management specialists support the business in the development of emergency response plans and capabilities and with response to any emergency events. This includes preparation for and response to tropical cyclones and hurricanes.

Footnotes

    Footnotes